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Ugly, Dovish Beige Book Warns Of Manufacturing Decline In “Most Districts”, Greenlights Further Rate Cuts Back in September, the otherwise sleepy and mostly boring report that is the Fed’s Beige Book report (which nobody otherwise reads due to its sheer size) got a sudden boost of notoriety and popularity when none other than Jerome Powell…

Bill Ackman Reveals The Moment He Became Redpilled On the Triggernometry podcast, billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman reflected on a pivotal moment that reshaped his perception of media trustworthiness, explaining how he and many others were misled by the media concocting the “Very Fine People” hoax against then-President Donald Trump. KONSTANTIN KISIN: You thought…

Is AI Smarter Than A 1-Year-Old? Can You Train AI With AI? Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com, The answers, as most will quicky access, are no and no. So, how much of the AI hype is real? AI Can’t Teach AI New Tricks Wall Street Journal writer Andy Kessler has a great observation today: AI…

Polymarket Is Singlehandedly Moving The Entire US Bond Market Online betting exchange Polymarket has not only taken the attention space by storm, rapidly becoming one of the most downloaded Apple apps… The mainstream lost its monopoly over media. Now it’s losing its monopoly over polls, prediction markets and shaping public opinion as trust shifts to…

Beauty Slowdown Hits L’Oreal As Sales Miss On China Consumer Woes ADR Shares of French cosmetics giant L’Oréal fell nearly 5% after third-quarter sales missed analysts’ expectations, as tracked by Bloomberg. The slowdown in sales was primarily attributed to worsening consumer sentiment in China. L’Oréal – home to brands including Giorgio Armani Beauty, L’Oréal Paris, Maybelline New York, Garnier, NYX Professional Makeup,…

Aramco CEO Says China Oil Demand “Bright Spot”   Speaking on the sidelines of the Singapore International Energy Week conference, Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said he was “fairly bullish” on China’s oil demand, especially after Beijing rolled out a series of stimulus measures to revive the world’s second-largest economy. “We see more demand for jet…

Time To Overwhelm Them With Thought-Crimes Authored by Jim Quinn via The Burning Platform blog, “Thoughtcrime was not a thing that could be concealed for ever. You might dodge successfully for a while, even for years, but sooner or later they were bound to get you”. – Orwell’s 1984 “They do not even need evidence to…

Seven Israelis Accused Of Giving Info To Iran On Targeted IDF Bases In an unexpected and somewhat bizarre new development out of Israel, government authorities say they’ve busted up a significant spy network, arresting seven Israeli citizens for gathering information on behalf of Iranian intelligence. Israel’s internal security agency Shin Bet announced Monday that it…

“Imagine What Government Agencies Could Look Like In 4 Years” By Eric Peters, CIO of One River Asset Management “Imagine what government agencies could look like in 4yrs,” wrote an X employee as a caption for two images, presented side-by-side. On the left was a SpaceX Raptor engine from 2020, the mechanics of it a…

Democrats Cheer As Lizzo Says: “Whole Country Be Like Detroit” If Kamala Wins Rapper ‘Lizzo’ boarded a private jet on Saturday ahead of a Kamala Harris campaign rally in Detroit, telling the less fortunate than her voters: “This is how a bad b*tch saves democracy. You ho’s couldn’t even spell democracy.” Even before Lizzo arrived in America’s most dangerous…

When Things Kinda Make Sense By Peter Tchir of Academy Securities When Things Kinda Make Sense I’m a contrarian by nature. I much prefer finding things that markets may be pricing incorrectly, to going along with the consensus. Usually there is no shortage of topics to pick from as a contrarian. Anything from China, to…

Elon Musk Warns “Car Industry Very Difficult” As “Ford & Tesla” Only “US Car Companies That Haven’t Gone Bankrupt”  Elon Musk appeared at the Greater Philadelphia Expo Center in Montgomery County on Friday night for his second town hall in the battleground state of Pennsylvania. With just 16 days until the election, Musk – and his…

Boeing, Union Reach Tentative Deal To End Strike, Ratification Vote Pending Authored by Tom Ozimek via The Epoch Times, Boeing and the union representing striking machinists have reached a tentative agreement that union leaders say should be presented to members for a ratification vote, paving the way for a potential end to the more than…

Iranian Proxies ‘Tried To Assassinate Me & My Wife’, Netanyahu Says After Drone Struck His Residence Update(1330ET): Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has essentially accused Iran of trying to assassinate him after a drone sent from Hezbollah struck his private residence outside of Tel Aviv Saturday morning. “The attempt by Iran’s proxy Hezbollah to assassinate me and…

Did Tesla Just Unveil Wireless EV Charging To Combat Cord Thefts? Ten years ago, Telsa was fiddling with an automated robot arm instead of wireless charging.  Charger prototype finding its way to Model S.https://t.co/L9E4MR642G — Tesla (@Tesla) August 6, 2015 Perhaps Tesla EVs may no longer need a plug. A new X post by Tesla says,…

CFTC Says Court “Erred At Every Turn” In Allowing Kalshi’s Election Markets Authored by Tom Mitchelhill via CoinTelegraph.com, The district court judge overseeing betting market Kalshi’s suit against the United States Commodities Futures Trading Commission “erred at every turn” when it allowed the platform to list and trade election odds, the regulator says. In an…

Netflix Stock Jumps After Beating Across The Board, Adding 5 Million New Subs Lots of eyes into NFLX earnings tonight, not only because it is the first “tech” company reporting, but because its stock has underperformed as of late post a big run YTD. According to Goldman, investors are looking for ~6mn subs in quarter,…

Globalism And Freedom Do Not Mix Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The Epoch Times, Speaking with a friend about the migrant crisis in the United States, she made an interesting observation. Many of the most prosperous Western nations in the world today are facing the same problem. They are flooded with migrants who are overwhelming…

Gold Hits New Record High; Dollar & Bond Yields Soar On ‘Good’-Data, ‘Trump-Trade’ ‘Soft’ (Philly Fed & NAHB) and ‘Hard’ data (Retail Sales, Initial Claims) improved today but manufacturing production shit the bed… Source: Bloomberg Ignoring the manufacturing slump, this data reinforced the ‘no landing’ narrative and pushed rate-cut expectations notably (hawkishly) lower… Source: Bloomberg…

Gold, Bitcoin, & The Dollar Surge Ahead Of Retail Sales; Markets “Very Convinced” Of Trump Victory VIX remains ‘sticky’ above 20… even as stocks manage gains… Source: Bloomberg The short-term vol market is anticipating some movement tomorrow around the retail sales print (likely to be a blow-out number according to BofA), then some calm before…

“Probably Worse Than It Looks”: IMF Sounds Alarm Over Government Spending Authored by Tom Ozimek via The Epoch Times, The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a stark warning about the rising tide of public debt in countries across the globe, with the United States standing out due to its persistent fiscal deficits and mounting…